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Portfolio Monitor

Portfolio risk diagnostics grounded in Modern Portfolio Theory — where your risk actually sits vs where your weights sit, plus correlation, concentration, and benchmark views.

Methodology

Markowitz risk decomposition

Portfolio risk is not the weighted average of individual vols — it depends on how holdings move together. Covariance-based marginal contribution to variance surfaces positions whose risk share exceeds their weight share: a 50% position can contribute 66% of risk when it moves together with the rest of the book, and that mismatch is invisible in a standard weights table.

Correlation matrix

Pairwise correlations flag hidden co-movement in seemingly diversified positions. Pairs above 0.8 offer minimal diversification benefit and effectively behave as a single position during drawdowns; low cross-sector correlations indicate genuine spread. The matrix answers "am I really diversified, or just holding more names?"

Concentration (HHI)

Herfindahl-Hirschman Index at both the holding level and the sector level. A portfolio can have a low holding HHI but a high sector HHI — ten equal-weighted tech names look diversified by ticker count but are effectively a concentrated tech bet. Both views surface different failure modes.

Sharpe ratio

Excess return per unit of volatility: (annualized return − risk-free rate) / annualized vol. A portfolio with higher raw return but lower Sharpe than its benchmark is delivering returns through risk, not skill — and will likely give them back the first time the market stops cooperating.

Max drawdown

Peak-to-trough decline from 1-year daily cumulative returns. Captures the tail risk that volatility misses — the number that actually describes the lived experience of a selloff. A -24% drawdown vs a benchmark's -16% means 50% more pain during the same event.

Benchmark-relative performance

Benchmark auto-selects by market — SPY for US, 2800.HK for HK, CSI 300 for A-shares. Return, volatility, Sharpe, max drawdown, and portfolio-benchmark correlation are compared side-by-side so attribution is against the market the portfolio actually sits in, not a generic reference point.

Example prompts

  • “Analyze my portfolio — where is the concentration risk?”
  • “Which of my positions contribute the most to portfolio volatility?”
  • “Is my tech allocation secretly all correlated to one factor?”
  • “Am I effectively underexposed to cyclicals vs my benchmark?”